富山に防災庁拠点は来るのか？その可能性はズバリ60%

The race is on to host Japan’s new Disaster Management Agency outpost – here’s why Toyama might just win.

Abstract: In this post, I analyze the odds of Toyama City being chosen as the site for the Disaster Management Agency’s branch office. With competition from Ishikawa and Hyogo Prefectures (among others), I estimate Toyama’s chances at around 60%. We’ll look at Toyama’s disaster response track record, regional advantages, and political factors – all poin…